- UTC’s last two home games have ended in a winless streak (D1, L1).
- Sport Boys have won one and lost one of their last two away games.
- UTC have failed to win any of their last three home games against Sport Boys in all competitions.
Mid-table battle of inconsistent sides
This Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca vs Sport Boys prediction focuses on two sides that have been in inconsistent form this season and come into this weekend’s Liga 1 - Apertura game in mid-table positions, with UTC 13th on 16 points from 14 games and Sport Boys 16th on 13 points.
UTC are winless in their last five games (D1, L4), having suffered three straight defeats, while Sport Boys are in slightly better form with two wins, two draws and a defeat in their last five matches. Boys’ last outing was their most impressive result so far this term when they beat Cusco FC at home.
Carlos Bustos recently left his position as UTC boss, leaving Edwin Arévalo as caretaker. UTC’s play style under Bustos was generally measured and possession based, but the new management is likely to adopt a more pragmatic and risk-averse approach for this Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca vs Sport Boys prediction.
A draw is the most likely outcome between these two sides here and can be wagered at 3.3. Sport Boys boss Carlos Desio has brought a clear, if direct, identity to his team and they have definitely started to play with more clarity in recent weeks.
Sport Boys press and UTC midfield dominate
According to our Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca vs Sport Boys preview, Desio’s game plan is to play a fast-paced, direct game in which his team presses the ball and tries to win it back as quickly as possible. UTC will be more midfield dominant and will look to contain the visitors, but given their recent instability and the importance of a result this weekend, they may not be as adventurous as usual.
Jostin Alarcon is the creative engine of Sport Boys’ side with four assists in 14 league games this term, but his side needs to find a focal point up front. In Luciano Nequecaur, who has scored four in 14 Liga 1 - Apertura games this season, they have the right man to hold up the ball and create space for Alarcon and others to run into.
Marlon De Jesus is UTC’s main attacking outlet, with four in 11 appearances this season, but Abdiel Arroyo has scored two of the hosts’ last five goals, making him their most reliable forward of late. UTC average 1.29 goals per game at home in Liga 1 - Apertura, and have conceded 1.14 per game.
Considering the Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca vs Sport Boys betting tips, Sport Boys have won just one and lost six of their seven away games in Liga 1 - Apertura, conceding 14 goals in total, so UTC will have a chance to exploit their opponents’ defensive vulnerabilities here.
Hosts have home advantage at altitude
The Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca vs Sport Boys prediction also notes that the hosts have a home advantage, but they are in poor form and this is a must-win game for both sides if they are to improve their standing in the table. Sport Boys are in better form overall and could get a result in this matchup, but a draw seems the more likely outcome.
Both teams to score is priced at 1.78 and the odds for over 2.5 goals in the game are 1.92, so we are happy to support the goals here. The clash of playing styles should ensure a fast-paced, end-to-end game and both teams should have some joy in attack.