- Tottenham have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Chelsea have won four and lost only one of their last five in all competitions.
- Chelsea have won the last two head-to-head meetings between these clubs, including a 4-3 win at Tottenham in the Premier League 2024/2025.
Pep’s Blues can outwit Spurs in London Derby
Tottenham are third in the Premier League 2025/2026 with 17 points from nine games while Chelsea are ninth with 14 from the same number of outings, but both clubs are in European contention and have relatively new managers that could benefit from the momentum of a derby victory.
Thomas Frank has been at the helm of the Lilywhites since June 2025 and his side are now set to play with an intensity-first pragmatism, playing direct in transitions, pressing aggressively and getting his full-backs forward to create width.
In Enzo Maresca, Spurs have an opponent who will look to outwit them with his own tactical flexibility, and the Blues’ recent improvement seems to coincide with the Italian’s possession-based blueprint taking root. The Tottenham vs Chelsea prediction hinges on whether Chelsea can maintain their Champions League form, as they dominated Ajax 5-1 at home last time out, but then flopped in a 1-2 home defeat to Sunderland in the Premier League on Sunday.
Maresca’s structured style is starting to pay off
Chelsea are a team that plays a patient, possession-based game in which the full-backs are inverted, central overloads create space and tempo is controlled through positional play. It should make for an intriguing tactical chess match between two different approaches to the game and one in which Spurs’ transition-based, all-action style could be a problem for them.
Micky van de Ven is the most advanced man in the Spurs line-up with three goals in nine Premier League 2025/2026 appearances, and has bagged three of Spurs' last seven goals. Maresca has also yet to find his main finisher with Enzo Fernandez, who looks to be the best fit for the playmaker role in his system, the most prolific player in the Chelsea team with three in eight.
Spurs are yet to impress at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with one win, one draw and two losses from four attempts, so Chelsea are a slight favorite at 2.46 to take all three points from this clash with Tottenham close behind at 2.62. As part of our Tottenham vs Chelsea preview, given the head-to-head record, Chelsea’s away form and the odds, we’ll take the visitors to win what should be a feisty London derby.
Back Blues to dominate in Tottenham
Spurs have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.00 per home game in the league so far, so they are modest in attack and average at best in defence. Chelsea have hit 2.75 and shipped 1.25 per away trip in the league this term, so backing both teams to score at 1.57 also looks good here. This Tottenham vs Chelsea betting tips section suggests considering a bet on both teams scoring, given their recent stats.
Another Tottenham vs Chelsea prediction is that Chelsea's strong away record might give them the edge in this fixture.
