- TSV Havelse have won three of their last five matches, including a 4-1 victory away to Wehen Wiesbaden.
- SSV Ulm have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five fixtures.
- TSV Havelse beat SSV Ulm 2-1 at home in a 3.Liga game four months ago.
Havelse in the groove
TSV Havelse are level on 29 points with SSV Ulm after 33 matches in the 3.Liga 2025-2026 campaign with the visitors in 17th and the hosts in 18th ahead of Saturday’s crucial relegation battle at SSV Ulm’s home ground. Considering all the factors, our SSV Ulm vs TSV Havelse prediction highlights just how finely balanced this contest is expected to be.
Havelse, who have won each of their last two matches, have a recent record and momentum advantage, so should come through as narrow victors of what is likely to be a tight and tense affair.
Samir Ferchichi has built some much-needed structure and discipline into Havelse’s game, and his 5-3-2 system with wing-backs is getting results.
The 5-3-2 structure provides Havelse with width and numerous opportunities to create with set-pieces and on the counter-attack. But the visitors are also ready to pounce, particularly with one of the league’s most efficient finishers in Lorenzo Paldino, who has scored five league goals in 31 appearances to date and is capable of making the difference in close games. For more insights, the SSV Ulm vs TSV Havelse preview identifies Paldino as a player to watch in such crucial fixtures.
Havelse have the momentum
Ulm are a pragmatic side that have drawn up a compact 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 when the match requires, although Pavel Dotchev’s men have been much more organized and less adventurous since Dotchev took charge in November.
Dotchev’s team are more about defending in numbers and taking their chances when they get them rather than looking to push up and commit players forward, so a match of structure against transition seems likely here and probably an end-to-end matchup. According to this SSV Ulm vs TSV Havelse prediction, tactical discipline could play a decisive role as both teams look for just enough edge to secure vital points.
Havelse have won just two of their 16 away matches this season, drawing four and losing ten, but they have scored 24 goals away in the league, so we like the look of goals at both ends here. SSV Ulm have won only five of their 16 home matches in the 3.Liga this season, drawing one and losing ten, averaging 1.25 goals per game scored and 1.94 conceded. When considering the current statistics and possible outcomes, our SSV Ulm vs TSV Havelse betting tips recommend looking for value in goal markets due to both sides' vulnerabilities at the back.
SSV Ulm’s Leon Dajaku, who has two goals in Ulm’s last five, has the potential to cause Havelse some problems and SSV Ulm have won and lost one of their last two at home, so this may be close and could go either way.
But as the value is on the away side, we are backing them to get the win and take the spoils at 4.2, with the goals markets also coming in at odds-on and slightly overpriced, over 2.5 at 1.5 and both teams to score - yes at 1.48.
