- Seattle Reign FC have won three, drawn one, and lost three of their seven home NWSL 2026 games, so they have been solid, but not invincible at home.
- Chicago Red Stars have lost four of their last five games.
- Seattle Reign FC have won their last two matches in all competitions, while Chicago Red Stars lost their most recent game.
Sides seem to be heading in opposite directions
Seattle Reign FC will feel they have the momentum to make a strong statement when they face Chicago Red Stars on Saturday in the preview. The Reign enter the game with three wins and two defeats in their last five matches and are on a two-game winning streak after beating San Diego Wave FC 2-0 away and Bay FC 3-2 away.
Chicago Red Stars have won zero, tied one and lost four of their last five, leaving them bottom of the NWSL table with 13 points from 18 games. Seattle are in tenth place with 23 points from 16 matches and the two sides look to be going in opposite directions right now, which is why the prediction points toward the home side.
Chicago's last two results have been a 2-1 defeat away to Racing Louisville and a 0-0 home draw with Bay FC, who have been in poor form this season. Seattle's last two wins were away from home, which suggests they should get the job done at home.
Reign have momentum while Red Stars are in a rut
The odds tell us all we need to know about the value here with Seattle the clear 1.42 favorites, Chicago 6.13 outsiders and the tie 4.5. Seattle are the most likely winners in this one, but the last two meetings have been ties and the most recent one finished 3-3 at this ground in the NWSL 2025, so the betting tips lean toward caution.
So we feel that this feels closer than the oddsmakers suggest, but we will go with Seattle in the double chance bet because Chicago's away record this season is so poor. They have one win and eight defeats in nine away trips, scoring just 0.22 goals per game and conceding 2.11.
Laura Harvey has been in charge since July 2021 and the Reign have been a solid, no-frills outfit that has usually played with three at the back and wing-backs to try to catch teams out in transition. Madison
Mercado is their danger woman in the central areas and she has scored three goals in Seattle's last five as the Reign have netted ten times in that spell.
Red Stars' away stats look dire
Martin Sjoegren took charge of Chicago in January 2026 and the Red Stars have looked more reactive than ruthless under his tutelage. Their 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 shapes are flexible enough to press well when they have to, but they have also been caught out on the counter attack when they have failed to win the ball back high up the field.
It looks as though Seattle will try to slow the game down and try to force Chicago wide, while the visitors will attempt to force turnovers and get the ball wide of their back three in order to play quick balls in behind. There should be a good contrast in styles and that can often lead to a chess match that is closer than expected.
Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 and both teams to score No at 1.95 look like a good option in the alternate markets because, although Seattle have been scoring regularly, they have only managed seven home goals in the NWSL 2026 and average 1.00 per game at their home. The Seattle Reign FC (W) vs Chicago Red Stars (W) prediction is therefore for a tight contest rather than a high-scoring one.
