- Almagro have won four and tied one of their last five matches, while San Martin Tucuman have won one, tied two and lost two of their last five.
- San Martin Tucuman have a win and a draw in the last two head-to-head meetings in Primera Nacional 2026 (1 win, 1 draw) with Almagro still waiting for their first breakthrough.
San Martin looking for a rhythm while Almagro are flying
This is a clash of styles as Alejandro Orfila's build-from-the-back, possession-based San Martin set-up takes on Carlos Mayor's compact, direct and vertical 4-4-2 that presses hard, breaks fast and can be dangerous from set pieces in this San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro preview.
The table suggests this is a mid-lower battle between 15th and 20th placed San Martin and Almagro in Primera Nacional 2026, and San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro prediction certainly points to a tense contest if the home side don't turn up in their right frame of mind.
Orfila, who took charge on 14 June 2026, has started to make his mark on the team and his side have responded with a mixed 1-2-2 sequence of results over the past five matches. However, they are still scrapping for rhythm more than cruising as they sit on 26 points from 19 games.
So they need to improve on their recent 1-0 away win over Patronato de Paraná from two days ago if they want to take the points against Almagro.
Almagro arrive here on a roll with four wins and a draw from their past five, so the visitors look likely to make this tight away game more of a home tilt than a walkover. Mayor has transformed his side into a hard to break down unit that have caused problems for the opposition with their high pressing system.
Almagro's away woes
Almagro have won their past three games, beating Agropecuario 2-1, Atlanta 2-0 and Atlético Rafaela 1-0, but they have failed to win either of their two previous trips to San Martín Tucumán, so this road trip is not necessarily an easy ride for them.
The front two have been effective recently and Mateo Benegas leads Almagro's Primera Nacional 2026 scoring charts with five goals in 17 games, so he's the most likely man to find a way through for them.
Diego Diellos leads the home team's scoring in the division with four goals in 17 and he will be expected to be the one to turn a tight game San Martín Tucumán's way on Sunday.
Orfila has shifted the team to a more proactive 4-2-3-1 system in recent weeks where they have been able to build up cleanly and press when they lose the ball, so midfield control and transition defense will be the key battleground. One mistake is all it takes to turn the tide in a match like this and San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro prediction suggests San Martín Tucumán should be able to just nick it.
San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro betting tips point to Under 2.5 goals at 1.37, which fits the script perfectly here, while Both Teams To Score: No at 1.55 is also my pick for the game as this is likely to be a tight and cagey affair.
San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro prediction is that this will be decided by a single goal.
