- Caracas FC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (W3, D2).
- Caracas are unbeaten away from home in Copa Sudamericana Group E (W1, D1), scoring 2 goals per game on average.
- Racing Club have yet to win at home, recording only draws.
Stick to the goals markets in a tactical stress test
Caracas FC will fancy their chances of nicking 3 points from this Friday’s Copa Sudamericana Group E matchup with Racing Club in a rare international clash of Argentine and Venezuelan teams.
As part of our Racing Club vs Caracas FC preview, the Venezuelan outfit sit 2nd in the group on 8 points from 4 games played so far, while Racing Club are 3rd on 4 points from the same number of games. The previous head-to-head clash was played just two weeks ago and finished 1-1, highlighting how similar and competitive these two teams are.
Gustavo Costas’s side have a high tempo 4-3-3 system that tries to impose themselves on games by dominating possession and attacking wide with a high line and a lot of numbers forward. The full-backs push forward to support the wingers and try to overload the wide areas and break teams down with pace in behind. However, the team are yet to win at home in this competition, losing once and conceding twice. The Racing Club vs Caracas FC prediction shapes up to be intriguing given both teams’ tactical approaches.
Racing’s results don’t match their performances
Fernando Aristeguieta’s Caracas are a lot more conservative by comparison with a compact 4-2-3-1 system, designed to absorb pressure and punish the opposition on the counterattack. This Racing Club vs Caracas FC prediction takes into account Caracas’ ability to stay solid in their own half and hit teams on the break, which has been the difference in their recent away games and looks a perfect strategy for this fixture.
Caracas were forced to battle hard for a 1-1 home draw with Racing Club two weeks ago, but came back to snatch a 3-2 win away from home against Independiente Petrolero. Admittedly, Racing have had a tough schedule, but they have been lucky to be in the game at times, such as the 1-0 away win they got against an average Estudiantes de la Plata side recently, or when they lost 2-1 at Rosario Central.
Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals looks good value
We’re staying away from the away odds, which are a bit short for our taste, and instead opting for the goals market. The BTTS and Over 2.5 goals options look overpriced considering both teams will want to qualify from this group and with both managers possessing contrasting styles, we think there will be an open match that rewards the over option.
Backing Over 2.5 is priced up at 1.47, with the BTTS option alone at 2.26. With Caracas in unbeaten form away from home, scoring 2 goals on average in their two away games, and Racing's Adrian Martinez having 2 in 3 Group E appearances, we think this one could go either way, so an away win is our Racing Club vs Caracas FC prediction in the result market.
Adrian Martinez has been a focal point in this group for Racing Club, scoring 2 goals in 3 appearances, but Caracas’s Wilfred Correa has outscored him in the group with 3 goals. With Racing needing to come on strong after drawing 1-1 with Caracas, we will go for Correa to add to his account in this fixture. For more detailed analysis, check out our Racing Club vs Caracas FC betting tips.
