- PFC Levski Sofia are the heavy favorites at 1.1 and there is a bit of a gulf in the two clubs' records
- FC Dunav Ruse have been solid, but not sharp enough to trouble the top clubs in the Parva Liga in the first half of the season
- Levski are unbeaten in their last four home matches in all competitions, winning three and losing one, averaging just 0.25 goals against per game
Tough test for Dunav at Georgi Asparuhov
PFC Levski Sofia vs FC Dunav Ruse prediction points to Levski entering Friday's game as the heavy favourites against FC Dunav Ruse, who have been pretty solid but not good enough to consistently beat the top sides in the Bulgarian top-flight in the opening half of 2026-2027.
Emanuil Lukanov has set his men up to be compact and hard to break down, with a low block and some direct outlets when they do win the ball. They're not possession-based, nor do they do enough to control the game, but they will always stay in it and offer Levski a difficult test on Friday.
However, the hosts are playing the best football in the country at the moment, and this preview suggests Julio Velazquez's side are a possession-first team who can play build-from-the-back, get wide and press from the front. Juan Perea has two goals in Levski's last five, so he is the main man to watch.
Hosts have the edge in the head-to-head
Dunav Ruse have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten in all competitions, so they have some solidity but not enough bite to be a regular winner. Levski have been less consistent, but have four wins, five draws and just one loss in the same period, which is more indicative of control than chaos.
The home side have drawn their last two, but the clean sheet against CSKA 1948 and the draw with FK Borac Banjaluka in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 suggests that Levski are a tough team to break down.
Dunav have won one, drawn three and lost two of their last six on the road in all competitions, which suggests that they can make this tough but still leave enough of a gap for Levski to take control. The home team have won the last two meetings in the record and beat Dunav 1-0 at home in the 2024/2025 season of the Bulgarian Cup, so there is a historical edge to the hosts. Our prediction is that the hosts should still find a way to edge it.
BTTS-No and Under 2.5 the way to go
Levski are the clear favourites at 1.1, with the draw coming in at 7.5, so it is hard to get any value on a home win. The goal markets do offer some scope for profit, however, as both teams have been involved in some low-scoring games of late.
Dunav have conceded eight times on the road, or an average of 1.33 per game, so Levski should be able to get the better of them at the Georgi Asparuhov on Friday. A home victory is the likeliest outcome, and both the BTTS-No and Under 2.5 markets are set at favorable odds of 1.41 and 2.42 respectively, so a controlled home win looks the way to play this game. For our betting tips, the safest angle is Levski to win with under 2.5 goals.
