- PFC Cherno More Varna (CMV) have not won their last 2 home H2Hs.
- CMV have won 3, drawn 1 and lost only 1 of their last five matches.
- Arda Kardzhali (AK) are the form team, winning their last 2 games including a 4-0 home rout of Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1936.
Cherno More Varna to edge out the draw
A close and cagey matchup is expected when Parva Liga 2025-2026 leaders Cherno More Varna welcome third-placed Arda Kardzhali on Monday. The hosts currently sit at the top of the table on 54 points from 35 games, just 3 more than the visitors who have also been extremely solid this term.
With the league standing and recent form so close, this PFC Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction could develop into a tactical chess match where home field advantage may just give Cherno More the edge. The hosts are the slight favorites at 2.72, while Arda are available at 2.51 and the draw is 3.2.
Cherno More have a little more to play on
Ilian Iliev has been in charge of Cherno More Varna since 2017.
He is a versatile tactician who has set up his side in anything from a flexible 4-2-3-1 to a 3-5-2 in recent weeks to control possession and dominate the midfield.
However, his main focus lately has been on improving the final third output, with Asen Chandarov proving to be his difference-maker in that department by netting 2 of their last 4 league goals.
Moreover, the PFC Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali preview highlights how Arda have undergone a bit of a rejuvenation under newly appointed boss Aleksandar Tunchev, who has got his side to stay compact and strong in a 4-2-3-1 system whilst getting his wide players to transition with the ball at pace.
Expect a tight game with few chances
Arda come into this one on the back of a two-game winning streak, although their recent overall form is a mixed 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. They have been much better on the road in recent months, so we are taking the slight underdog status of the visitors into consideration for our main PFC Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction.
CMV are in decent form at home, where they have won their last two league games to nil. However, they have lost 4 of their 17 games at the Ticha, with the same going for Arda’s away record (Won 6, Drawn 4, Lost 7). The 20 goals scored by Arda on their travels compare with Cherno More's average of 1.12 goals per home game, and we’ll take both of those averages into account when taking the ‘Both teams to score - No’ market at 1.89, which is featured in this PFC Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali betting tips section.
The last time these sides met in the Parva Liga - Conference League Group during 2026 was at Arda’s ground just a fortnight ago, ending in a 0-0 draw. CMV have only won 1 of the 5 all-time meetings, while Arda are without a win. 4 of those games ended in a tie, so the PFC Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction is for another tense matchup in what is likely to be a midfield battle between Cherno More’s possession game and Arda’s counter-attacking, pragmatic style.