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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Paris Saint-Germain FC logo
2 - 1
Full-Time
Paris FC logo
Ligue 1
France
/
Ligue 1
/
Parc des Princes

vs
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC Predictions

  • Paris Saint-Germain FC have won three, drawn one, and lost one of their last five competitive matches.
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC have scored 17 goals in seven Ligue 1 home games, winning six and drawing one.
  • Paris FC have won one, drawn two, and lost two of their last five matches.
Paris derby pits PSG against the new kids on the block
Paris FC’s first season back in France’s top-tier has been a tough one so far with the club 14th in Ligue 1 on 16 points after 16 games. The newcomers are unlikely to pose a serious challenge to PSG when they visit the French capital’s most illustrious soccer club in Sunday’s Paris derby. For those interested in analysis, our Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC prediction suggests that PSG will have the upper hand in this match. PSG are second in the table on 36 points after 16 games and have all the ingredients that will be needed to mount a successful title charge this season. Luis Enrique’s side play a fluid 4-3-3 system that morphs into a 3-2-5 in possession, with vertical passing patterns and constant positional rotation in possession and aggressive pressing play when out of possession. The system is designed to control the game and suffocate opponents who are forced to play at high tempo when they have the ball.
PSG have superior firepower and smarter players
Stéphane Gilli’s Paris FC are a pragmatic, compact team with a different structure altogether that is designed to stay organised and be difficult to break down. With players in their right positions and a structure that can quickly change from a 4-5-1 to a 5-4-1 and vice versa, they are usually solid in the defensive third and can be dangerous on the break. They also have a clinical finisher in Jonathan Ikone, who has bagged three of his side’s last six goals in five matches, and another in Ilan Kebbal, who has scored six Ligue 1 goals in 16 appearances. Paris FC have shown some resilience away from home in recent weeks, winning one, drawing one and losing one of their last three away from their Parisian home. But PSG are unbeaten at home and have much more firepower to win games, as reflected in the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC prediction from many experts.
Derby day means more than just three points
Goncalo Ramos has scored 4 of PSG’s last 12 goals in their previous 5 matches, while Bradley Barcola has got 5 Ligue 1 goals in 13 appearances so far this season. PSG are the heavy favorites at 1.17 for this game, while the draw is 6.8 and Paris FC are clear underdogs. According to this Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC preview, PSG's dominance at home is a key factor going into the match. But we are looking for better value than that and believe backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.35 is the way to go in this clash of styles. For more insights, the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC betting tips suggest considering the high chance of multiple goals in this fixture. PSG will control the ball and attack much of the time and Paris FC will try to make them work for every inch of space. It should lead to an end-to-end contest with PSG’s superior quality, numbers, and pressing play almost certain to get the better of Paris FC, which is consistent with the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC prediction shared earlier. This is the first top-flight meeting of these two sides in a generation and both sets of fans will know how much more than three points are at stake in this derby.

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.23
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Paris Saint-Germain FC
    Won
    Explanation
    • Paris Saint-Germain FC has 36 points and 11 wins this season, showing clearly better season form than Paris FC.
    • Paris Saint-Germain FC scores 2.43 goals per home game and conceded only 3 at home, a strong attack and solid defense.
    • Paris FC conceded 29 goals overall and lost recent home games 0-3 and 0-1, struggling to score consistently.
  • Tipped at
    2.88
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Paris Saint-Germain FC concedes just 0.43 goals per home game while Paris FC scores only 1.12 away (9 away goals), limiting totals.
    • Three of Paris FC's last five matches had two goals or fewer (0-0,1-1,0-1), suggesting low scoring form.
    • Although Paris Saint-Germain FC averages 2.86 total at home, their tight defence and Paris FC's weak attack favour fewer goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.82
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Matches with Paris Saint-Germain FC at home have BTTS only 12.5% of the time, so opponents rarely score there.
    • Paris Saint-Germain FC conceded just 3 goals at home and recorded big home clean sheets like 5-0 and 3-0 recently.
    • Paris FC has only 9 away goals this season and recent away/home results include 0-0 and 0-1, so they may be shut out.

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC Live Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC Live Stats

  • Possession
    70
    30
  • Total Shots
    20
    6
  • Shots On Target
    6
    3
  • Shots Off Target
    10
    3
  • Corners
    7
    1
  • Crosses
    8
    2
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    0
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    6
    7
  • Offsides
    0
    2
  • Fouls Committed
    7
    4
  • Counterattacks
    2
    5
  • GK Saves
    2
    4
  • Goal Kicks
    3
    10
  • Throw Ins
    18
    16
  • Treatments
    0
    3
  • Substitutions
    5
    5
Paris Saint-Germain FC logo

Last 5 H2H matches

  • 2
    Won
  • 1
    Draw
  • 2
    Won
Paris FC logo

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC Last Matches

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Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
1
Team Logo Paris Saint-Germain FC
74 34
11
Team Logo Paris FC
47 34

Player Statistics

Name
Bradley Barcola
11 1 2 0 29 1743
Ousmane Dembele
10 7 0 0 22 1063
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
8 4 1 0 28 1478
Desire Doue
7 4 0 0 23 1348
Goncalo Ramos
6 1 3 1 30 1318

Ligue 1 Standings

1
The Paris Saint-Germain FC logo
34 24 4 6 74:29 76
11
The Paris FC logo
34 11 11 12 47:50 44
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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