- In their last 3 H2H clashes, AEK Larnaca have beaten Pafos FC twice (W2, L1).
- Pafos FC’s last 5 games across all competitions have yielded 2 wins, 2 draws, and a loss.
- AEK Larnaca’s last 3 matches in all competitions have resulted in 1 win, a draw, and a defeat (W1, D1, L1).
Pafos FC’s home form is strong
Pafos FC have had a relatively steady run of results at home in the 1. Division - Championship Group 2026, winning 9, drawing two and losing just three of their last 14 home games, scoring an impressive 31 goals in the process. However, the Cypriots have struggled in their recent matches away from home, losing 2-0 to Omonia FC Nicosia in the league, winning 2-1 over AEL Limassol in the Cyprus Cup and drawing 1-1 with Aris Limmasol in the most recent game.
AEK Larnaca’s home defeat to Omonia was a shock as they usually perform well on the road in the 1. Division - Championship Group 2026. The Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca preview finds that their most recent away performances in all competitions have seen them avoid defeat in their last two trips away from home, taking a win and a draw (D1, W1). AEK Larnaca have won eight, drawn three and lost just three of their 14 away games in the Championship Group 2026, conceding only 11 goals in the process.
AEK Larnaca will pose a problem for Pafos FC
Pafos FC and AEK Larnaca are both in the shake-up of the Championship Group as we approach the end of the 2025/2026 campaign, and with a new coach in each camp, the pair will be looking for all the European places they can get. Pafos FC sit 4th in the table with 53 points from 29 games, whereas our Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca prediction notes that AEK Larnaca are currently 3rd with 57 points from the same amount of games.
AEK Larnaca have a slight edge in the H2H standings, winning two of their previous three visits to Pafos FC, so I expect a close game on Saturday. New Pafos FC coach Albert Celades took over the reins in January 2026 and isn’t expected to make too many changes to the squad, which is best suited to the counter-attack and transition play. AEK Larnaca are a more traditional possession-based football team, rotating the ball and pressing intensely in numbers when they lose it, generally setting up in either a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation.
Pafos FC are the slight favorites at 2.07, with AEK Larnaca coming in at 3.6 and the draw at 3.2. When considering this Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca betting tips, I’m going for the home team at 2.07 as it seems a touch too high considering their home form and the bookies have gone with the status quo here. I’m also going for Under 2.5 goals at 1.68, as this should be a low-scoring game with two teams scrapping for European places.
Pafos FC - Draw no bet will be the main selection for Saturday’s clash in Cyprus’ Championship Group, with a 1-1 exact score prediction. Our Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca prediction suggests Lele has been a constant threat to opposition defenders in the Championship Group, scoring one goal in two appearances, while Jaja has popped up in Pafos FC’s last five games with three goals. Marcus Rohden stands out for the visitors with a goal in his last three Championship Group appearances.
Additionally, the final Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca prediction is that we are in for a closely fought contest between two well-matched sides.
