Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Oxford United logo
1 - 0
Full-Time
Derby County logo
Championship
England
/
Championship
/
Kassam Stadium

vs
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Oxford United vs Derby County Predictions

  • Derby have gone 3 games without defeat (D3), but each of those games have been 1-1 draws.
  • Oxford United have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches.
Two solid, but unspectacular sides do battle in Oxford
Oxford United have had a hard season so far in the Championship 2025/2026, sitting 22nd in the table with just 6 points from 9 games after their opening 9 fixtures. A 0-0 draw at QPR followed by a 2-1 defeat away to Watford has seen Gary Rowett’s side take 1 point from their last 2 Championship 2025/2026 matches. Rowett’s pragmatic, defense-first strategy has made the Us hard to break down in this division, but they are equally toothless in attack. Their style of play is all about remaining compact, exploiting set pieces and hitting on the break when they can, whilst their top scorer Will Lankshear has 3 goals in 9 appearances in this competition this season. The hosts’ home record this term is even worse than their overall form, with 2 draws and 2 losses from 4 fixtures at the Kassam. Meanwhile, John Eustace’s Derby County have a similar problem, with 8 points from their first 9 games putting them 20th in the Championship 2025/2026. Our Oxford United vs Derby County preview highlights that Derby County have picked up 4 points from a possible 6 in their 2 most recent away matches, and Eustace’s Rams are a different breed of solid side to their hosts. They tend to play a structure-first system, which involves plenty of proactive pressing and an attempt to control games from the spine, with Derby using the middle third as the foundation for their build-up play.
Opposing goals at Kassam Stadium
Given the odds for this game, a Derby win looks unlikely to happen. The fact that the visitors are 3.0, whilst Oxford are slight favorites at 2.45, indicates just how close a game this will be. The last two head-to-head meetings between these sides have been ties, with a 0-0 tie at Pride Park last season the most recent encounter. Under 2.5 match goals is a clear favorite here at 1.5, and the Oxford United vs Derby County betting tips suggest that is a solid option given the cagey history between these two sides and the nature of their approaches. Derby score an average of 1.25 goals per game away, but also concede 1.50, so both sides will have their chances in what should be a low-scoring, tight match. The Oxford United vs Derby County prediction points out that Oxford have conceded 6 goals in 4 home games so far, and Derby should have more than enough to get some joy. But the difference between these teams isn’t large enough for the home side to make a strong case as favorites, so another draw or a narrow home win seems likely in what should be a nervy 90 minutes. For those seeking an additional perspective, this Oxford United vs Derby County prediction underscores just how tightly matched these two sides are going into this vital fixture.

Oxford United vs Derby County Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.05
    1X2
    Draw
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Oxford United and Derby County both draw often: Oxford United has 3 draws and Derby County 5 draws this tournament.
    • Recent head-to-head is tight: the last meetings include a 0-0 and a 1-1 between Oxford United and Derby County.
    • Neither side wins much lately: Oxford United 1 win and Derby County 1 win in the competition, pointing to a stalemate.
  • Tipped at
    2.38
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Both teams' matches average many goals: Oxford United 2.56 and Derby County 2.89 total goals per match each.
    • Head-to-head often produces goals: three of the last five fixtures had 3 or more goals (two were 2-3 results).
    • Recent form shows scoring games: Oxford United had a 3-1 and 2-2, while Derby County fixtures frequently finish with multiple goals.
  • Tipped at
    2.01
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Derby County fixtures see both teams score 63.64% of the time, so they commonly concede and score in matches.
    • Head-to-head supports BTTS: four of the last five matches between Oxford United and Derby County had both teams on the scoresheet.
    • Oxford United scored in 3 of their last 5 and Derby County scored in 4 of 5 recent games, making BTTS likely.

Oxford United vs Derby County Live Stats

Oxford United vs Derby County Live Stats

  • Possession
    49
    51
  • Total Shots
    19
    6
  • Shots On Target
    7
    1
  • Shots Off Target
    8
    2
  • Corners
    4
    12
  • Yellow Cards
    4
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    15
    10
  • Offsides
    1
    3
  • Fouls Committed
    9
    12
  • GK Saves
    1
    6
Oxford United logo

Last 8 H2H matches

  • 2
    Won
  • 2
    Draw
  • 4
    Won
Derby County logo

Oxford United vs Derby County Last Matches

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Oxford United vs Derby County Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
8
Team Logo Derby County
67 46
22
Team Logo Oxford United
45 46

Player Statistics

Name
Will Lankshear
11 2 2 1 44 2864
Cameron Brannagan
6 3 8 0 37 3085
Ciaron Brown
3 1 6 0 37 3320
Stanley Mills
3 4 6 0 43 2510
Myles Peart-Harris
3 1 2 0 19 1433

Championship Standings

8
The Derby County logo
46 20 9 17 67:59 69
22
The Oxford United logo
46 11 14 21 45:59 47
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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