- Molde have won 3 of their last 5 games against Tromsø, but lost both of their previous home games in that record.
- Molde have scored 2.25 goals and conceded 1.12 on average per home game in Eliteserien 2026.
- Tromsø have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including back-to-back wins in their current run.
Tight, tense encounter expected in Norway
Tromsø IL will provide a really interesting tactical counterpoint to Molde FK's high pressing, front-to-back 4-3-3 system at the Aker Stadion on Sunday. The hosts will look to win the ball high up the field and attack at speed, but the visitors prefer to sit deep in a midblock, absorb pressure and break quickly to create their own chances.
This Molde FK vs Tromso IL preview is a classic clash of styles, and it is reflected in Molde's Eliteserien 2026 record so far this season (5th place, 24 points from 16 games) and Tromsø's respective third place finish (34 points from 16). The bookmakers have Molde as slight favourites at 2.25, but they would have taken Tromsø at 2.9 if they were on the road just three months ago after they were hammered 2-0 in Tromsø during Eliteserien 2026.
This game has a derby vibe to it too, as Molde have failed to win in their two previous home matches against Tromsø IL, so both teams will be keen to get the better of their opponents. Sindre Tjelmeland's side have won just one of their last five in all competitions (D2, L2), but their two results over this period tell the story - a crazy 3-3 home draw with Sarpsborg 08, followed by a 2-1 defeat away to Kristiansund BK.
Jørgen Vik's men have won three of their last five games, and their away record in Norway's top-flight is an impressive 4-2-1. Molde have a better home record in the Eliteserien 2026 (W5, D1, L2), but the draw looks a little short at 3.55 here, so we're going for a home win and an away win at even odds. For those looking for Molde FK vs Tromso IL betting tips, the price on both teams to win has appeal.
Chance both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 1.65
Molde's Emil Breivik has been his team's top creator in recent weeks, providing four assists in his last five appearances, and this should be a good opportunity for him to add to that tally as Tromsø tend to compact centrally. Tromsø's Heine Aasen Larsen has scored five of his side's 15 goals in their last five competitive games and will get plenty of space in transition to punish Molde's defensive line.
The oddsmakers are showing Molde as slight favorites, but we're not so sure. We think Molde FK vs Tromso IL prediction points to Tromsø are capable of nicking it, or at least securing a high-scoring draw in this clash. Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals at 1.65 looks a solid bet for Sunday's game, but we're taking the draw and a 2-2 score prediction in the exact score market. A second Molde FK vs Tromso IL prediction is that goals should come at both ends.
