- TPS have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches
- Mariehamn have had an awful run of 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games
- The last 2 Veikkausliiga 2026 head-to-heads have been ties, with the most recent ending 1-1 at Mariehamn's ground
TPS to turn corner at home
FC TPS Turku sit eighth in the Veikkausliiga 2026 table with 22 points from 16 games ahead of Saturday's clash with IFK Mariehamn, who occupy 12th place with just five points from 17 matches. TPS have had a slightly better run of results in recent weeks (W2, D1, L2) and will be looking to extend that against the division's bottom side on Saturday in our FC TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn preview.
Ivan Pinol has been in charge of TPS since 20th January 2025 and has stamped his mark on this side. They play with a bold, risk-on mentality which aims to win the ball early and play in transition. They have also shown a degree of flexibility in terms of shape and are one of the most effective teams in Veikkausliiga 2026 when it comes to applying pressure to the opposition.
In their latest 5-game spell, there have been signs that TPS are waking up to the task at hand, with the highlight undoubtedly being a 3-0 home win over AC Oulu. The most disappointing result was undoubtedly their 1-3 home defeat to Ilves, a match which should really be considered a 'must-win' given the circumstances.
Albijon Muzaci leads the way for TPS in front of goal in Veikkausliiga 2026 (7 goals in 16 games), while 2 goals in 13 appearances makes Adam Larsson the biggest threat for Mariehamn. The visitors will be keen for a win after failing to claim a win from 8 away games in Veikkausliiga 2026 (D1, L7), and FC TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn betting tips point towards the hosts having the edge.
Mariehamn have been woeful in 2026
Roberth Bjoerknesjoe has been in charge of IFK Mariehamn since the 7th June 2026 and has immediately instilled an energetic, compact and forward-thinking setup on the side. They've been poor this season, but they've shown some signs of life in recent games, even if the results don't show it.
The last 3 games have been a 4-2 defeat away to IF Gnistan, a 0-2 home defeat to FC Lahti and a 1-1 draw at home to AC Oulu. They're just not doing enough to hurt sides and they're conceding far too many goals, as evidenced by the 19 they've shipped in their 8 away games in Veikkausliiga 2026.
The price for a TPS win looks short but with the home advantage and a superior team, they should be winning this game. Mariehamn are by far the worst side in the division and TPS will likely have the sharper edge in this one, so we're supporting the hosts to finally turn their home edge into 3 points and our FC TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn prediction is an expected outcome of TPS win & over 1.5 goals looks to fit the bill. FC TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn prediction