- Cruzeiro MG are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, winning 2 and drawing 3.
- Fluminense RJ have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5.
- Cruzeiro have won both of their last 2 home games.
Cruzeiro look to keep their streak going
Cruzeiro MG are 3rd in Serie A 2025 with 60 points from 31 matches while Fluminense RJ are 7th with 47. Cruzeiro have won 12, drawn 2 and lost only 2 of their 16 home games in the 2025 Serie A season so far. Fluminense have won only 3, drawn 4 and lost 9 of their 16 away games in the 2025 Serie A campaign.
The last few fixtures provide an interesting backdrop for our Cruzeiro MG vs Fluminense RJ prediction: Fluminense have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings with Cruzeiro, who have won 1 and there have been no draws. Fluminense won 1-0 at home in the last match in Serie A 2024.
Jardim’s Cruzeiro are a different beast
Cruzeiro boss Leonardo Jardim has transformed the club since taking over in February 2025 into a well-disciplined, possession-based team who control the pace of the game and press selectively. Fluminense boss Luis Zubeldia has also made a positive impact since taking over, moulding the team into a flexible, pragmatic unit with a high-intensity pressing style.
This will be a classic clash of styles - one highlighted in this Cruzeiro MG vs Fluminense RJ preview - between a team that likes to play at a measured tempo against another that is direct, aggressive and likes to counter-press. It could be a game of chess, where the midfield battles and defensive organisation decide the outcome.
Kaio Jorge is the biggest attacking threat for Cruzeiro, having scored 2 of their last 6 goals and having the clinical edge they will need to break down this game. Fluminense are built around experienced defenders at the base of their compact setup with the pace of their wing-backs providing the outlet for the counter-attack.
Solid Cruzeiro can edge a close one
Cruzeiro MG scores an average of 1.88 goals per home match in the 2025 Serie A while conceding just 0.75 on average. Fluminense scores an average of 1.06 per away match while conceding an average of 1.69, indicating their away-day struggles.
Fluminense have had a mixed bag of results over their last 5 with back-to-back wins at home to Internacional and Ceara following a 2-0 defeat away to Ceara. Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last 5, with a 3-1 win at home to Vitoria followed by two scoreless draws away to Palmeiras and Gremio.
With under 2.5 goals at 1.63, the oddsmakers seem to be pricing this as a close, defensive encounter and it would certainly suit Cruzeiro, who have been defensively solid throughout this campaign. The Cruzeiro MG vs Fluminense RJ prediction here leans heavily toward the home side, as Cruzeiro are 1.93 favourites for this game which is a touch surprising as Fluminense are 4.45. It is hard to argue against Cruzeiro given their home dominance, the defensive solidity they have shown with just 3 conceded in their last 5 and Fluminense’s away struggles, supporting our Cruzeiro MG vs Fluminense RJ betting tips.
