- Comerciantes Unidos have won 4, drawn 3 and lost just 1 of their 8 home league games this season.
- Deportivo Garcilaso have won just 1 of their 7 away fixtures in Liga 1 - Apertura, drawing twice and losing 4.
Tight tactical battle expected in the Andes
7th-placed Comerciantes Unidos and 8th placed Deportivo Garcilaso are just a point apart in the Liga 1 - Apertura table with 20 and 19 points respectively from 14 games, and our Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction suggests there is likely to be little to choose between them on Monday.
The visitors have been in slightly better form than the hosts recently, but they will need to perform well to edge a very tight game against a Garcilaso side that has been playing their best soccer of the season.
The hosts have won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, while Garcilaso have won 4 consecutive games. So, the slight 2.26 favorite here is Comerciantes and the 3.3 for the away side makes sense given both teams’ recent momentum.
Comerciantes coach Claudio Biaggio has built his Comerciantes side to be solid in the centre of the pitch and wide, employing a narrow 4-3-3 or 4-5-1 system in which they are compact and disciplined. For this reason, our Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso betting tips focus on their ability to force the opposition into wide areas and then look for quick transitions to hit them on the break.
Sebastián Domínguez’s Garcilaso are a higher-tempo side, pressing up and employing a double pivot in their 4-2-3-1 system. The Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview indicates that they like to press and turn the ball over in the opponent’s half to move the ball quickly in transition.
Both teams are well-organised and will make it difficult for each other on Monday and it is likely to come down to the set-piece battle and which team can best profit from the transitions.
Comerciantes are solid at home, while Garcilaso have won their last 2 at home and recorded an excellent win at Los Chankas just 2 weeks ago. However, the hosts have won 2 of the 3 meetings between the sides since the last matchup, while visiting Garcilaso have never managed to win at Comerciantes.
The under 2.5 goals bet is available at a very low 1.58, which suggests there will be a cautious game in the offing. This Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction is also influenced by the fact that Comerciantes have scored 9 goals in 8 home league fixtures this season, so they won’t be looking to open the game up and Garcilaso are poor on the road, averaging just 0.57 goals in 7 games in Liga 1 - Apertura.
Matias Sen leads the way for the hosts with 5 goals in 13 league games this term, and he’s the most reliable goal scorer they have. Garcilaso have been sharing the goals around more recently, with Christopher Olivares scoring 2 of their 5 goals in the last 5 games. However, the bet is on the under 2.5 total and a home win.
