- CD Trofense lead Amarante FC by seven points in Liga 3, Group A (after 8 games each).
- Trofense’s home form: 3 wins & 1 loss in 4 games (4 goals conceded).
Renato Coimbra’s Trofense have the edge over old club Amarante
CD Trofense are the standout favorites at 1.81 for Sunday’s Liga 3, Group A encounter with Amarante FC, although the visitors, at 4.39, and the draw, at 3.14, both represent better value on the odds.
Trofense have had the better of this matchup over recent times, so our CD Trofense vs Amarante FC prediction is that they will maintain their unbeaten run, taking the scalp of Amarante in the most recent clash between the clubs in the 2024/2025 campaign at their place in the league at the season’s end. The Troensistas came away with the points that day thanks to a 1-0 victory and, given the positions the teams occupy in the league and Trofense’s superior home record, Renato Coimbra’s side should again edge out their guests.
Amarante FC’s recent form doesn’t look particularly good on paper with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 games, but they have faced some difficult away fixtures in that run. The Black & Whites had a disappointing trip to Fafe last month in which they suffered a 3-0 defeat and followed that with a 1-2 home extra-time cup exit to Leixoes before grabbing a narrow 1-0 victory over Uniao Sport Clube Paredes on home turf.
Renato Coimbra’s team have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last 5, but they have only won one of their last 3 at their own place. However, this CD Trofense vs Amarante FC preview indicates they should take all 3 points this weekend as they have the superior overall form and firepower in the form of Moussa Diarra, who has netted six goals in six league games and five goals in his last 5 appearances.
Amarante may be able to keep it close
Trofense boss Renato Coimbra extended his contract in 2025 and he has created a team that is set up to be stable, pragmatic and tough to beat. The home team’s players defend in numbers, press actively when they win the ball back and can be extremely dangerous on the counterattack.
Amarante boss Eurico Couto set up his side to play a disciplined low block and press with intensity when they turned the opposition over, and to hit them with vertical passes and runs on the break when they were in possession. The players are currently in a transitional phase after Couto left the role in October 2025 after a short stay in charge, and they could be vulnerable on Sunday.
Daniel Oliveira is Amarante FC’s leading scorer in the league with two goals from eight appearances, and he is regularly their spark for attack. With these tactical dynamics, our CD Trofense vs Amarante FC prediction is for a low-scoring and closely contested match. This clash has the feel of a chess match between the organized Trofense and the cautious Amarante, and both coaches are likely to set their teams up to be compact and solid, so we’re with the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ market at 1.54. For those seeking additional insight, the CD Trofense vs Amarante FC betting tips recommend focusing on defensive solidity and limited scoring opportunities.