- Belenenses have won 1 and drawn 3 of their last 4 head-to-head meetings with Mafra, outscoring Sunday’s hosts 5-4 during that run.
- Both Teams To Score has featured in each of the last four encounters between Mafra and Belenenses.
- Belenenses have had the better of Mafra this season and are currently ahead of them in the table, sitting 3rd to Mafra’s 8th in the Liga 3 Promotion Round.
Top six rivals battle for promotion
CF Os Belenenses have had the measure of CD Mafra in their last four meetings and will hope that record continues when the teams face off again in the third tier on Sunday. The CD Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses prediction suggests that Belenenses' recent dominance may play a crucial role once again.
Belenenses have won one and drawn three of the past four head-to-heads between the sides, including a 2-1 home victory over Mafra in November.
Os Belenenses are slight favorites at 2.42 to win the game, compared to 2.89 for Mafra and 2.92 for the draw, and there’s enough in the stats to make them our pick for the win.
Tiago Zorro’s pragmatic, possession-based set up has given the club structure and results since he took over in September 2025.
The Lisbon club are solid at the back, having secured first place in the Série B during the first phase, and possess enough quality in their midfield and forward line to control the ball and tempo of the game.
Tiago Morgado has been the spark in the middle of the park, with recent crucial goals, while Nuno Tomás and Wilson Eduardo are experienced attackers that have the quality to control games and finish chances.
Belenenses had a little wobble with a 1-2 home defeat to Amarante last time out, but the visitors are the team with the momentum in this series and could squeeze out a win, based on our CD Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses prediction.
Mafra’s mazy style can misfire
Orest Shala’s men are young and direct, playing an attacking brand of soccer based around mazy runs and high pressing. This CD Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses preview highlights how Mafra's aggressive style could leave them exposed at the back.
Rodrigo Matos has been Mafra’s star performer in recent weeks, providing the late equaliser in their 1-1 draw with Trofense.
Moussa Camará was on the mark for a winning goal against Varzim and was named MVP in that game, while Marculino Ninte adds a dash of pace and directness up front.
Mafra have won just one of their five Promotion Round games so far, suffering two defeats on the road and only managing to beat Varzim 1-0 at home.
So Belenenses are the smart pick to win on Sunday, but it’s likely to be close and a high-scoring draw could also be on the cards, according to our CD Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses betting tips.
Both teams have scored in each of the last four head-to-heads, with three of those games finishing 1-1.
We’re expecting a high-scoring 90 minutes of soccer between two teams who need the points to put themselves in a better position to make the promotion playoffs in the Apuramento de Campeão phase.