- Montevideo City Torque have won three of their last five matches, including their last two, while Progreso have lost three of their last five and have suffered three consecutive defeats.
- Torque have won their last three meetings with Progreso, including a 2-1 victory at home 8 days ago.
- Torque have a better away record than Progreso do at home in the Apertura (W2, D4, L2) and their attack has scored an average of 1.12 goals per game on the road (Progreso have averaged 0.88 at home).
Torque travel south in search of another victory
Montevideo City Torque travel on Saturday to take on a Progreso side who have struggled for results and goals in the opening months of the 2026 season. For the CA Progreso Montevideo vs Montevideo City Torque prediction, Torque sit 6th in the Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura 2026 table with 23 points from 15 matches, while Progreso languish in 15th place with just 10 points in the standings.
New boss Tabare Silva has brought a more organized and compact style to Progreso in recent weeks, with his team setting up to counterattack and defend in numbers. This CA Progreso Montevideo vs Montevideo City Torque preview notes that this approach has not yet produced any results, but it is a clear improvement on the disjointed football that the team produced prior to his arrival.
Torque, on the other hand, have played in a more progressive, possession-based manner under Marcelo Mendez’s tutelage, who has instilled a clear identity onto the team. Wide overloads, high pressing and a structured build-up from the back have led to some impressive results this season, most recently a 1-0 win over Palestino Santiago in the Copa Sudamericana and a 2-1 victory over Progreso in the league just 8 days ago.
Torque to edge a tactical chess match
This fixture will be an interesting matchup of styles, with Progreso looking to play pragmatically and Torque looking to impose their passing play and high pressing game. According to our CA Progreso Montevideo vs Montevideo City Torque prediction, the recent form of the teams and the dominant head-to-head record of Torque make it difficult to back Progreso here at 3.38, while the visitors offer better value at 2.19.
Torque have the better record away from home this season (W2, D4, L2), and Progreso have won only one of their eight home league games this term (D2, L5). We’re expecting a tight game between two sides who don’t score many or concede many goals, so the odds for under 2.5 goals (1.63) look a little on the low side and the ‘BTTS - No’ market (1.81) is favored as the main play.
Additionally, for those looking for CA Progreso Montevideo vs Montevideo City Torque betting tips, Salomon Rodriguez leads the line for Torque with six league goals in 12 appearances and is always a threat, but he has had some support recently with Franco Pizzichillo scoring three in Torque’s last five matches.
Matteo Copelotti is Progreso’s top marksman with two in the Apertura, but Nahuel Lopez has taken the scoring reins in recent outings with two of Progreso's three goals in their last five outings.
In summary, the CA Progreso Montevideo vs Montevideo City Torque prediction is that Torque’s superior form, dominant head-to-head and better quality in attack should see them edge a low-scoring affair against Progreso in Montevideo on Saturday.
