- Caen have won 1, drawn 3 and lost just 1 of their last 5 league games.
- Bourg-Peronnas have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Caen have conceded an average of 1.50 goals per game on the road this season.
Caen can be positive and possess width
This Friday’s National clash between 15th placed Bourg-Peronnas (25pts from 28 games) and 9th placed Stade Caen (33pts from 28 games) should produce a few goals as the hosts attempt to pull away from the drop zone.
Visitors Caen will be favourites to earn all three points at 2.42 for a number of reasons, but the 2.16 odds for over 2.5 goals also hold appeal as a game with plenty of chances at both ends looks likely.
The bookies are clearly expecting an open, attacking game and that could well be the case if Maxime D’Ornano’s positive and energetic approach continues to pay dividends for the visitors. Our Bourg-Peronnas vs Stade Caen prediction takes into account that Caen were rampant in their most recent road game, hammering Paris 13 Atletico 3-0, and the influence of D’Ornano has been plain to see.
Caen have always had some good players and can be quick and dynamic when they have to be, but D’Ornano has seemed to install a more vertical attacking philosophy in his short time at the club, encouraging his men to play with width and press high up the field to win the ball back. On the evidence of their recent road win, Caen are pressing in packs higher up the pitch than before and are not afraid to play with speed and width, which is not something they did with such conviction previously.
Bourg-Peronnas will sit in and try to frustrate
They will face a very different tactical approach this Friday from David Le Frapper’s Bourg-Peronnas, who prefer to sit in and frustrate opponents with a rigid 3-4-1-2 structure and selected pressing traps. The hosts are more steady on their own patch than they have been on the road, having gone unbeaten in two (W1, D1) coming into this, but it could be a tough game against a side they lost 1-0 away to in the same league.
This Bourg-Peronnas vs Stade Caen prediction is supported by the fact that Bourg-Peronnas have struggled to match Caen this season, which is why Le Frapper’s men are considered the minnows by the betting sites. The difference in style is one factor behind their struggles as Bourg-Peronnas are less prone to taking risks and their system relies on being disciplined in a compact low block and quick transitions from wing-back to wing-back when they win the ball.
Bourg-Peronnas’s main goal threat is Benjamin Besic, who has seven goals in 25 National appearances, but Caen’s Ivann Botella is more of a constant threat with eight goals in 26 league outings. The visitors also boast more of a goal threat from midfield at present with Alexandre Duville-Parsemain scoring two of Caen’s last six.
Plenty of positives for both attacks
With D’Ornano now at the helm, Caen are more likely to take all three points on Friday, but we’re going for a Both Teams to Score wager at 1.9 because Bourg-Peronnas are solid enough to hold up their end of the bargain and the clash of Bourg’s compact defensive block against Caen’s more vertical style should produce chances for both teams.
The Bourg-Peronnas vs Stade Caen preview indicates there are plenty of positives for both attacks. In addition, our Bourg-Peronnas vs Stade Caen betting tips suggest that the attacking momentum lies with Caen, but the disciplined hosts will make this an intriguing contest.
