- Borussia Dortmund have won five and drawn two of their seven home Bundesliga games this term, winning two and drawing one of the last three at Signal Iduna Park.
- SV Werder Bremen are winless in three away games (D2, L1).
- Dortmund have won three of the last five meetings, with Werder failing to take a win in any.
Kovac’s Dortmund are mean at the back
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last five Bundesliga games (W2, D3) and sit second in the table with 32 points from 15 games, but the consistency of their performances so far this term is particularly impressive. Niko Kovac has instilled a defensive discipline to the Dortmund side and they look rock solid in a back three system that allows them to be compact and quick in transition.
Dortmund kept Eintracht Frankfurt at bay away from home in their midweek 0-0 draw before brushing aside Borussia Monchengladbach 2-0 at Signal Iduna Park. The Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen prediction for this week is heavily influenced by the fact that Serhou Guirassy leads the line for Dortmund in a 3-4-2-1 system where the wing-backs provide width and Julian Brandt sets the pace for the team.
The former Bayer Leverkusen winger has scored four of Dortmund’s last nine Bundesliga goals and looks in fine form, while Guirassy is a proven predator with five goals in 14 Bundesliga appearances.
Bremen could be out of their depth
Werder Bremen are a decent Bundesliga team, but they have a tendency to struggle away from home and currently sit 10th with 17 points from 15 matches. Horst Steffen has instilled a high-intensity, ball-dominant system in the team, that can go 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, but they have struggled to find form recently.
Bremen are without a win in their last five games in all competitions, having drawn three and lost two. The Bremeners have also drawn back-to-back games, including last weekend’s 0-0 stalemate in the Bundesliga at Augsburg and a 0-0 friendly draw with St Pauli in midweek.
Steffen’s side press high up the pitch and move the ball with real tempo on the counter-attack, but there are defensive gaps to exploit and they have been consistently let down by a defence that has conceded 16 goals in eight away games in the Bundesliga this season. The Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen betting tips suggest this is a key weakness Bremen must address. Jens Stage is the primary goal threat for Bremen with five Bundesliga goals from 13 appearances this season.
Dortmund to take all three points
The head-to-head record of this fixture is full of drama with the reverse fixture in Bundesliga 2024/2025 ending in a 2-2 draw in Dortmund. But with our Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen prediction highlighting Kovac’s men unbeaten at home in the league and Bremen winless in their last three away, it’s hard to look past Dortmund as a good bet for the points.
The bookmakers have the hosts as 1.39 favourites while Bremen are 8.7 long shots, which seems like an overreaction. This Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen preview suggests Dortmund will win this game, but it should be close and entertaining. The ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market is a heavy favorite at 1.41 and with two creative sides facing off, this should be an end-to-end game that sees the hosts edge out the visitors.
Another Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen prediction is that both teams will have scoring opportunities given the open style expected from both sides.