- Atletico Lanus have lost their last three games, but are unbeaten in two at home (W1, D1).
- Mirassol have won three of their last five, including their away game against Always Ready in the last round of Copa Libertadores.
- Mirassol have split their two away group games (W1, L1) and have scored twice on the road.
Top of Group G clash
Two teams in Copa Libertadores Group G will be going at it on Tuesday when Mirassol FC travel to face Atletico Lanus in Buenos Aires. Lanus have six points in five games and need to keep pace in order to keep their qualification hopes alive, while Mirassol have 12 points after five matches - an incredible achievement for the debutant club from Brazil.
A lot is at stake here as Mirassol’s first ever taste of continental soccer meets Lanus’s established pedigree in South America’s biggest and toughest club competition.
Our Atletico Lanus vs Mirassol FC preview highlights that Mirassol are in the ascendancy and Rafael Guanaes has been the tactical mastermind behind their charge. The Tigrão have been one of the most intense pressing sides in the group, regularly forcing the opposition into turnovers high up the pitch.
But this will be a tough test against a side that play a completely different way. Mauricio Pellegrino is a structure-first coach, who likes his sides to be compact and patient in build-up, two qualities that should help Lanus to absorb the Mirassol pressure and pick their spots to break their opponents down.
An evenly poised clash
Atletico’s three-game losing streak is a concern, but their home record is much more impressive, where they’ve suffered no defeats in two outings in this competition (W2, D0).
The head-to-head result six weeks ago tells us a lot about this game in terms of the styles on display. The Atletico Lanus vs Mirassol FC prediction becomes particularly interesting as Mirassol edged Lanus 1-0 that night and appeared to frustrate their opponents.
Guanaes’s pressing style could well do that again and I expect a cagey affair on Tuesday. The visitors will have a go, but may struggle to break through Lanus’s defensive organization, and may leave themselves open to a quick counter. Pellegrino’s side can break through, but won’t take many risks to try and make the breakthrough either - so a low-scoring game is likely.
Go for the under
Under 2.5 goals looks a good place to start and is priced generously at 1.62 considering these sides average 1.00 goals per game at home and away respectively in Copa Libertadores.
Both teams to score - No - is a decent bet at 1.64, as at least one of these sides will be able to shut the game down and keep a clean sheet.
For this Atletico Lanus vs Mirassol FC prediction, I’m going for a home win as my exact score wager, as Lanus have been strong at home and this is a must-win game for them, so I’m expecting a big response. The odds on a Lanus win are also attractive at 1.78, but I think the visitors can keep it close enough to force a close matchup.
Our Atletico Lanus vs Mirassol FC betting tips also recognize that Mirassol’s away form has been mixed so far, but they’ve scored and created enough to win at Always Ready and they can do it again. Alesson Batista is their most dangerous player, their top scorer with one goal, but also the provider with three assists in four group games. He’s a threat on the ball and from it, so back him to be a game changer on the counter attack.
Agustin Cardozo is Lanus’s top scorer in this group with one in four games and should provide the spark that his side needs to win this. The final Atletico Lanus vs Mirassol FC prediction is that Marcelino Moreno has been a creative outlet with an assist and should be a decent anytime goalscorer pick in this clash of midfield battle.
