- Alebrijes Oaxaca have won 2 of their last 5 games (W2, L3) and have won both of their most recent home games (W2).
- Leones Negros Guadalajara have won none of their last 5, drawn 3 and lost 2, including the last 2 away (D1, L1).
- Leones Negros Guadalajara’s Alejandro Bravo leads the team’s scoring with 2 goals in 10 league games.
Alejandro Bravo looks for another assist at Alebrijes Oaxaca
Alebrijes Oaxaca currently sit 12th in Liga de Expansion 2025-2026 with 12 points from ten games, while Leones Negros Guadalajara occupy 14th with 7 points from the same amount of games. The two sides head-to-head record is level at 1-1 in the last 2 fixtures, but Leones have won neither of their last 2 away games (D1, L1).
Juan Manuel Rivera took over as head coach of Alebrijes Oaxaca in September 2025 and has been trying to establish an identity after a period of change and transition. The team are generally pragmatic in their setup, preferring to play in transition and counter-attacking when possible. This Alebrijes Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Guadalajara preview highlights that they are a compact team and look to defend with numbers in defence when in transition, but they have been let down by their play in the final third at times.
Leones are more structured, Alfonso Sosa’s side set up in a possession-based way, where they use the half-spaces to overload the ball near player and press in waves when out of possession. Sosa has been a great addition to the club and he has brought previous title success and structure to the side. Alejandro Bravo, who has scored 2 goals in 10 Liga de Expansion fixtures, is always a good outlet for them on the counter-attack. Importantly, the Alebrijes Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Guadalajara prediction suggests that Bravo's impact could prove crucial in this matchup.
Back over 2.5 goals in Oaxaca
Alebrijes Oaxaca have been in mixed form with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 games, but they have had much more success at home with 3 wins, 1 draw and only 1 loss in 5 games. Leones have struggled on the road in Liga de Expansion, drawing just 1 and losing 4 of their 5 away games.
Alebrijes Oaxaca can score goals at home, with an average of 1.80 goals scored per game and 1.60 goals conceded per game. Leones have failed to win in their last 2 away games and have only scored 4 goals in 5 away games, so they will have to be at their best if they are to cause Alebrijes any trouble.
This game is a contrast of styles with Sosa’s team looking to control territory and press high up the field, while Rivera’s team will look to punish turnovers and score directly on the break. According to our Alebrijes Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Guadalajara prediction, this could lead to an end-to-end game, so we’re backing Over 2.5 goals in this one, as well as Both Teams to Score - Yes. For those looking for guidance, the Alebrijes Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Guadalajara betting tips favor the odds on the home side to win, which are also attractive at 2.0, so we’re going for that along with Over 2.5.
