- Alanyaspor have drawn their last two Super Lig matches but beat Corum Belediyespor 5-0 away in the Cup last time out.
- Fatih Karagumruk are fresh from a 5-2 away win against Esenler Erokspor in the Turkish Cup, but have failed to win in their last three away trips to Alanyaspor.
- Alanyaspor have a good record against Karagumruk in recent head-to-heads, winning two and drawing two of the last four including a 4-1 home victory in the 2024/2025 season.
Alanya’s approach should have Karagumruk in a fix
Alanyaspor will be looking to build on the momentum generated by their 5-0 midweek Cup win at Corum Belediyespor when they host Fatih Karagumruk in the Super Lig on Sunday. Our Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction focuses on Guven Yalcin, who has led the scoring in the top tier for Alanyaspor with two goals in ten appearances, but Steve Mounie has been the team’s driving force in recent weeks with four goals in his last five games.
The hosts have drawn their last two league matches to a score of 0-0, but there have been plenty of goals in the previous games under Joao Pereira, who took charge in March 2025. His 3-4-2-1 system has been good for a 10th place in the Super Lig with 18 points from 16 matches and is based around a compact structure that controls the tempo of the game through midfield rotation.
This Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagumruk preview also notes that Pereira’s men are solid at the back, conceding just three goals in seven home fixtures, while Mounie and Yalcin are a threat up front. Pereira needs to keep Alanyaspor’s energy levels high in their preferred 3-4-2-1 system, which should be tested to the limit by Karagumruk’s direct 4-2-3-1.
Karakumruk to hit and hope on the counter
Onur Can Korkmaz took charge of Fatih Karagumruk late in October 2025 and has had to guide the club through a transitional phase in the Super Lig. They sit 18th in the table with just 9 points from 16 matches, the same number as their hosts.
David Datro Fofana has 5 Super Lig goals in 11 appearances and remains the greatest threat to opposition defenses, but Andre Gray has chipped in with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances to give Karagumruk some pace and finish on the break.
Karagumruk smashed Esenler Erokspor 5-2 away in the Cup last weekend, but they were thumped 3-0 by Genclerbirligi SK in the league. The Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction looks at Karagumruk’s away record: they have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 5 times on their travels, conceding 14 goals in their 7 away fixtures.
Draw the line at Alanya
In terms of Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagumruk betting tips, backing Alanyaspor, who have failed to win their last two home games, to defeat Karagumruk, who have failed to win their last three trips to Alanya, is tempting at the odds-on favorite. But Pereira’s side have been in mixed form of late - W1, D3, L1 in their last five across all competitions - so it is safer to take the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.96.
Alanya have the defensive solidity to keep Karagumruk at arm’s length in what should be a low-scoring game between two teams in need of some momentum.
