- AC Milan have won nine, drawn five and lost four of their 18 Serie A home matches this season.
- Cagliari have won three, drawn six and lost nine of their 18 away games in Serie A this term.
- AC Milan have failed to win any of their last two home matches (D1, L1).
Tactical clash on San Siro
AC Milan have been on a mixed form streak of their own lately (W2, D1, L2) as they lost 2-3 at home to Atalanta before bouncing back with a 2-1 win away at Genoa.
Their opponents, Cagliari, have also been in mixed form across their last five Serie A matches (W2, D1, L2), as they drew 0-0 away to Bologna, lost 2-0 at home to Udinese and scraped a 2-1 win at home to Torino.
The home team have been more solid than scintillating at San Siro this season, winning nine, drawing five and losing four of their 18 Serie A games there.
This AC Milan vs Cagliari prediction highlights their position as fourth in the Serie A table with 67 points from 36 games, and notes they are unbeaten in their last three home meetings against Cagliari (W1, D2).
Expect a tight clash
Fabio Pisacane has made Cagliari a duel-heavy, compact side that will test the patience of their opponents, who are a possession-based side, but Cagliari’s players are quick enough and physical enough to get the ball back and hurt teams on the counter.
Rafael Leao is Milan’s best bet in attack, but as he can be isolated, Cagliari’s forwards could enjoy more space to operate in behind the ball.
They will need it too, as Paul Mendy has been their most lethal striker lately with two goals in his last five games, while Sebastiano Esposito is the top scorer for the Islanders with six in 34 appearances in Serie A.
According to our AC Milan vs Cagliari prediction, Massimiliano Allegri’s team has been pragmatic this year, preferring to control the tempo of games in a compact mid-block before picking players off selectively in front of their own goal with high pressing.
Cagliari will test Milan’s structured transitions in this game as they have to do it against every single team they play, but Allegri will have them ready for it after months of tinkering with the 3-5-2 and 3-4-3 formations.
Milan can sneak a goal in
This AC Milan vs Cagliari preview suggests that although Milan will probably do just enough to beat a gritty Cagliari side, there is enough about the visitors that should allow them to get at least a goal on Sunday.
Cagliari are scoring just 0.89 goals per away game in Serie A while conceding 1.61, which should point us to a low-scoring game.
Both Teams to Score - Yes is priced at 2.17 and looks good for what should be a tense game between two sides that are set up to be in different parts of the table.
The AC Milan vs Cagliari prediction for this fixture is AC Milan to Win at 1.35, as it seems likely that the quality of the home side will be enough to sneak a tight game against a Cagliari side that are 16th in the table with 37 points from 36 Serie A fixtures this term.
For those interested in more in-depth analysis, our AC Milan vs Cagliari betting tips also include the Total Score Under 2.5 at 2.21, as Milan have scored 24 goals in 18 home Serie A assignments - not a prolific output.
